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എന്ത് 🥥തേങ്ങയാണ് CME GAP?

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Pandu muthale kelkunnathanu ee CME Gap..

CME fill cheyan pokunnu..

Angane okke..

Sherikkum Enthanu ee CME Gap?

Let’s Dive Deep ⤵️ 

🪙 What is CME? (The Chicago Mercantile Exchange )

Think of CME as the serious, institutional side of Bitcoin trading. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange is the world’s largest derivatives market — they trade everything from oil and gold to corn… and yes, Bitcoin futures.

Here’s the key point:

Your favourite crypto exchanges (Binance, WazirX, CoinDCX) run 24/7 — no break
CME, being a traditional market, operates weekdays only

CME Bitcoin Futures Trading Hours:

  • Opens: Sunday 5 PM Central Time (Monday 3:30 AM IST)

  • Closes: Friday 4 PM Central Time (Saturday 2:30 AM IST)

  • Weekends: Fully closed 🚫

Meanwhile, crypto exchanges never sleep — they let you trade Bitcoin anytime, even during Netflix marathons.

The interesting thing? Bitcoin doesn’t care about CME's schedule. While CME employees enjoy their weekend coffee, Bitcoin price continues moving globally.

🕳️ What is a CME Gap?

A CME Gap happens when Bitcoin price changes during the weekend while CME is closed, leaving a blank space on CME charts when they reopen.

Example:

  • Friday: CME closes with Bitcoin at $90,000

  • Weekend: Bitcoin pumps to $93,000 on crypto exchanges

  • Monday: CME reopens at $93,000

That $90K to $93K jump, where CME had no trading, is the famous CME gap.

Real Example:
March 2025 saw the biggest CME gap ever — a $10,000 price jump over one weekend after Trump announced US crypto reserves.

Gaps can happen in both directions:

⬆️ Gap Up: Bitcoin price increases during the weekend
⬇️ Gap Down: Bitcoin price falls while CME is closed

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😵🎯 Do Gaps Always Get Filled? (The Truth Behind the Hype)

Traders love saying, “All gaps must fill.” But let’s be realistic:

Historically, around 77% of CME gaps eventually get filled
Timing varies — some fill within hours, others take months, some never

Why Gaps Get Filled:

  • Markets dislike incomplete price levels

  • Traders watch gaps, making them self-fulfilling

  • Large players use price differences to their advantage

  • Gaps act like price magnets for the market

Examples:

  • November 2024: Bitcoin gap from $77,930 to $80,600 filled after months

  • March 2025: Bitcoin weekend gap between $84.5K–$95.3K filled the next day

Think of gaps as unfinished business — the market often returns to complete them, like finishing overdue homework.

⚠️ But remember: Not all gaps fill, especially in strong bull markets. Some gaps from Bitcoin's $8K–$24K levels remain open even today.

📉 Should You Care About CME Gaps?

If you're a long-term investor:

✔️ Gaps cause short-term volatility — ignore the noise
✔️ Don’t panic if you hear “gap fill incoming”
✔️ Use gaps to learn, not for emotional decisions

For active traders:

✔️ Gaps can act as support/resistance zones
✔️ Don’t use high leverage based on gaps alone
✔️ Combine gap analysis with other tools

Common Mistakes to Avoid:

  • Don’t bet your savings on gaps

  • Don’t react to every Twitter post about gaps

  • Don’t expect gaps to fill within 24 hours

CME gaps are useful indicators, but not crystal balls for trading.

🧠 Crypto Mafia Summary:

✔️ CME = Chicago Mercantile Exchange, major US Bitcoin futures market
✔️ CME Gap = Price jumps during weekends while CME is closed
✔️ Do Gaps Always Fill? About 77% do, but timing varies
✔️ Beginners: Learn gaps for awareness, but don’t trade based on them alone

Bottom Line:
CME gaps show how global markets interact — interesting for learning, risky for trading without experience.

Appo athrollu innathe mafia letter.... Bie! 👋

DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research