എന്താണ് CPI DATA? Crypto 🔻

📘 What Even is CPI?

CPI = Consumer Price Index
US economyil price ethra koodunnu ennathaan CPI parayunnathu.

Athayathu — food, fuel, rent, Netflix, iPhone case…
Ella karyangalum oru shopping basket-il vachu

ennit athinte price month by month compare cheyyum..

Basketinte rate koodiyal CPI ↑
Kuranjal CPI ↓

💡 Why Should Crypto Care?

Because CPI = inflation data, and inflation data = the U.S. Federal Reserve's mood.

And the Fed’s mood directly affects interest rates. And guess what moves crypto? Interest rate news.

• 📈 If CPI is high → Inflation is rising → Fed might raise rates → Bad for crypto

• 📉 If CPI is low → Inflation is cooling → Fed might lower rates → Good for crypto

But here’s the twist...

🧠 The Real Market Trigger: Expectation vs Reality

What really moves the market isn’t just whether CPI is high or low — it’s whether it was higher or lower than expected.

Let’s take the latest CPI release on June 11, 2025 (for May data):

• Market expected 2.5% CPI

• Actual number: 2.4%

• Result: Surprise win → Market pumped → Bitcoin hit $110K briefly

Same goes for Core CPI (which excludes food and energy): came in lower than expected = more bullish fuel.

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🔍 Breakdown of June 2025 CPI (Released June 11)

Markets love when inflation looks weaker than expected. It opens the door for future rate cuts — which is bullish for risk assets like crypto.

💣 Bitcoin’s Reaction?

• June CPI: BTC jumped from ~$106K to nearly $110K

• Previous CPI releases (April/May):

  • Mixed data = sideways action

  • Big miss = price pump

  • Met expectations = mild movement

🗓️ How to Track CPI Like a Pro

• Official Source: bls.gov/cpi

• Release Time: Every 2nd Wednesday of the month, 8:30 AM EST

• Next Release: July 15, 2025

Set calendar reminders. CPI is the macro event you don’t want to miss.

🧠 Crypto Mafia Summary:

CPI ennathu oru boring stat pole thonnam…

but in reality, it’s one of the biggest macro drivers for crypto. Every small miss or beat moves the entire market.

So next time you hear “CPI is out!”, don’t panic. Check the numbers, compare them to expectations, and ride the volatility smartly.

And remember — in crypto, it’s not just about what the number is... it’s about whether the number was better or worse than expected.